The NHS has been given a severe flu warning from Simon Stevens at the NHS Expo conference. It is not too unexpected. Systems that calculate the probability of bad seasons have been issuing gentle warnings for a while, doubts about effectiveness of the last vaccine and the reports from Australia of a rapidly mutating virus add an additional worry.
I don’t need to explain the impact of flu and what might happen if we have a particularly bad season. The whole point of Simon’s warning was to ensure that the NHS was prepared, but there is still no plan.
I would like to mention that influenza is not a reportable illness. Public Health England does collect some surveillance data on influenza (ILI) like illness from General Practice and NHS England ‘may’ respond by allowing the prescribing of antiviral medication during the period of apparent high reporting of ILI. It all…
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